Expect end-of-season expansions for 2022 NFL-free agents | NFL news, rankings and stats

There are some final orders to be completed before the New Year, and the NFL teams are diving into Mock Draft Simulator season. Clubs would love nothing more than to avoid letting some of the best 2022 NFL Free Agents on the open market, instead of ink expansions, before the end of the 2021 campaign.

Every year before the NFL playoffs start, a handful of big deals are leaked in as the league’s top talent signs early contract extensions. The 2020 season featured Green Bay Packers tackles by David Bakhtiari, the Denver Broncos tackles by Garett Bolles, Indianapolis Colts inner defender Grover Stewart, New York Giants security slogan Ryan and Washington Football Team center Chase Roullier all signing and staying long-term.

The following is a list of players who could be the next to waive NFL-free agency and sign long-term deals, along with contract projections.

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* All statistics shown in the tables are for the two seasons before each player signs his next contract.

Green Bay Packers WR Davante Adams

Player Explosive receptions Yards pr. scheduled service Catch in% Receiving grade Contract
juli jones 92 3.00 87% 92.5 3 / $ 66 million
DeAndre Hopkins 67 2.26 92.8% 92.5 2 / $ 54.5 million
Davante Adams 62 2.86 94.4% 93.6 ?

The Packers have shown a willingness to extend players toward the end of the regular season, most recently making David Bakhtiari the highest-paid tackle in the NFL last November. Talks are likely to be well underway between Packers and Adams’ camp – the most important issue to be resolved is probably on what scale Adams becomes the highest paid wide receiver in the NFL.

Contract projection: Four years, $ 93 million ($ 23.25M per year), $ 52 million total guaranteed

New Orleans Saints OT Terron Armstead

Player Press% allowed +/- rated
run block%
Pass block grades Pass Block without screens Contract
Trent Williams 4.9% 16.6% / 13% 84.9 82.5 6 / $ 138 million
David Bakhtiari 4.6% 9.9% / 9.1% 91.5 90.4 4 / $ 92 million
Terron Armstead 3.4% 11.6% / 11.8% 90.0 87.9 ?

The Saints already extended quarterback Taysom Hill earlier this season, which helped clear up their 2022 salary cap in the process. An Armstead expansion would achieve the same goal, as he is currently set to count around $ 13 million against the Saints in 2022 without even being on the list. With a new deal, the Saints could handle another $ 5 million or more.

Contract projection: Three years, USD 61.5 million (USD 20.5 million per year), USD 45 million total guaranteed

San Francisco 49ers AND Laken Tomlinson

Players Press% allowed +/- rated
run block%
Pass block grades Pass Block without screens Contract
Ereck flowers 7% 15% / 13.9% 66 62.5 3 / $ 30 million
Rodger Saffold 4.1% 14.6% / 11.4% 73.5 70.1 4 / $ 44M
Laken Tomlinson 5.2% 18% / 12.5% 66.9 63 ?

The 49ers were probably preparing to extend Mike McGlinchey after the 2021 season, but a torn quadriceps inflicted in week 9 could shelve those talks for another season. The 2018 top-10 pick has the fifth-year option left on his current contract, and head coach Kyle Shanahan discussed how the 2020 campaign was a “setback” for McGlinchey after two solid seasons to begin his career. The odds are the 49ers want to see a little more before committing big bucks to their young right tackle.

December 19, 2021; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers guards Laken Tomlinson (75) in the warm-up before the start of the game against the Atlanta Falcons at Levi’s Stadium. Credit: Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

This could open the door for left-wing Laken Tomlinson to stay on if San Francisco has enough money for a potential Nick Bosa mega-expansion. Tomlinson plays next to the left tackle Trent Williams, who made the 49ers the highest paid offensive lineman in the NFL last free season despite being 33 years old. Tomlinson could similarly argue that he has shown no sign of slowing down in his 30-year season in 2022.

Contract projection: Three years, $ 27 million ($ 9M per year), $ 16.5 million total guaranteed

Chicago Bears AND James Daniels

Player Press% allowed +/- rated
run block%
Pass block grades Pass Block without screens Contract
Shaq Mason 4.3% 12.8% / 8.9% 73.3 70.3 5 / $ 45 million
Graham Glasgow 4% 13.2% / 12% 73.1 70.1 4 / $ 44M
James Daniels 5.4% 14.8% / 14.2% 66.9 64.1 ?

Daniels played most of his snaps on the left wing in 2018 and got a 69.8 pass-block rating. In 2019, Daniels played almost equal shots on center and left guard, getting a 67.0 pass-block rating as center and 73.9 as left guard. After injuries knocked him out for most of the 2020 season, Daniels now has a 68.1 pass-block character as a full-time right guard.

Sometimes things do not have to be too complicated: Daniels will give a team above average play on all three inside spots and he will still be 24 years old in Week 1 of 2022. The second round in 2018 will likely be younger than a handful of players in 2022 Draft, and he’s still full of potential.

Contract projection: Five years, $ 50 million ($ 10M per year), $ 24 million total guaranteed

Miami Dolphins EDGE Emmanuel Ogbah

Player Press% Pass Rush Win% TFL + NG QB hits Contract
Shaq Lawson 13.2% 12.5% 18 21 3 / $ 30 million
Matthew Judon 14.8% 12.3% 10 40 4 / $ 54.5 million
Emmanuel Ogbah 13% 13.4% 7 25 ?

Ogbah made the most of his $ 15 million two-year deal, which he signed with the Dolphins before the 2020 season, showing the pass-rush arsenal that made him number 33 overall in 2016. Ogbah’s 122 total quarterbacks pressure since 2020 is in sixth place among edge. defenders, with four of the five players in front of him earning at least $ 17 million a year.

Ogbah does not win as consistently as the top defenders, but his pass-rush character has improved in four straight seasons, and his 19 kicks since 2020 match his overall output over the first four years of his career with matches left to play in. 2021

Contract projection: Three years, $ 42 million ($ 14M per year), $ 30 million total guaranteed

Dallas Cowboys EDGE Randy Gregory

Player Press% Pass Rush Win% TFL + NG QB hits Contract
Carl Lawson 14.7% 17.5% 4 40 3 / $ 45 million
John Franklin-Myers 14.8% 16.5% 3 11 4 / $ 55 million
Randy Gregory 15% 16.4% 7 18 ?

The key question here may be whether the Cowboys can convince Gregory to stay – perhaps at a slightly reduced price – after holding on to him through some challenging times. Edge defender Demarcus Lawrence is already the fifth highest paid edge rusher in the NFL, and the Cowboys spent No. 12 and 84 overall picks in the 2021 draft on former Penn State phenomenon Micah Parsons and Iowa product Chauncey Golston.

September 9, 2021; Tampa, Florida, USA; Dallas Cowboys defensive lineman Randy Gregory (94) reacts after winning the ball against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the first half at Raymond James Stadium. Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Since compensatory elections were created in 1994, the Dallas Cowboys have earned the second most of any club, just behind the Baltimore Ravens. Dallas was the only club with four compensatory selections in the 2021 Draft. Long story short, the Cowboys are confident in letting talented players set off in free play and build through the draft. Gregory’s value has never been higher than it is right now.

Contract projection: Two years, $ 25 million ($ 12.5M per year), $ 15 million total guaranteed

Cleveland Browns CB Denzel Ward

Player Yards / coverage snap Press Review Character Explosive game% allowed Forced completion% Contract
Marlon Humphrey 1.04 69.5 2.1% 14.9% 5 / $ 97.5 million
Marshon Lattimore 1.2 60.2 2.5% 13.5% 5 / $ 97 million
Denzel Ward 0.9 66.0 1.8% 13.3% ?

Marshon Lattimore’s extension shortly before the 2021 season was good news for Ward, and not just because the two players were teammates at Ohio State in 2015 and 2016, before Lattimore was drafted No. 11 overall in 2017 and Ward subsequently became No. 4 overall in 2018.

Lattimore, like Ward, has had some issues with week-to-week consistency from both a health and performance perspective. However, the two young stars are the rare breed of outsider cornerback, who are true lockdown players who play about 60% of their snaps in press coverage and look wide. There are some abilities and skill sets that simply can not be learned, and to excel as a man covering cornerback on the outside is one of them. For this reason, when a team finds such a player, it tends to pay top dollar on the position.

Contract projection: Five years, $ 105 million ($ 21M per year), $ 72.5 million total guaranteed

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Kansas City Chiefs S Tyrant Mathieu

Player Defensive stop Coverage Forced completion% QB pressure Contract
Logan Ryan 57 61.0 12.3% 20 3 / $ 30 million
Jordan Poyer 53 76.7 2.0% 11 2 / $ 19.5 million
Tyrant Mathieu 37 74.0 4.5% 17 ?

Two contract extensions signed before the 2021 season will turn any safety negotiation this coming offseason into a player-club battle: Seattle Seahawks safety Jamal Adams is entering into a four-year, $ 70 million deal and Minnesota Vikings safety Harrison Smith after that with a four-year deal. , $ 64 million pact.

The trend of safety compensation had not been overwhelmingly positive in a few low seasons before these players broke through, and the question is how much this new landscape will affect the situation in general. Mathieu is also no ordinary security with experience as a slot cornerback and lots of snaps down the field as well as in the deep third of the field.

Mathieu is the vocal leader in a Chiefs defense that has allowed the fourth-lowest expected points per game. opponent dropback since Week 8, but it has also had the seventh-best quarterback pressure percentage over the same time period. Kansas City have shown with their huge investments in winger Frank Clark and inside defender Chris Jones that prioritizing building through the top seven. The remaining question is whether the Chiefs still value Mathieu’s contribution as highly as they did back in 2019.

Contract projection: Three years, $ 46.125 million ($ 15.375M per year), $ 30 million total guaranteed

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