Here’s what the Patriots’ AFC East title odds would be with a Week 16 win vs. Bills

The stakes will be incredibly high for both the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills in Sunday’s Week 16 game at Gillette Stadium.

The Patriots (9-5) saw their seven-game win streak end in a frustrating 27-17 loss to the Indianapolis Colts last Saturday. The Bills (8-6) defeated the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, ending a two-game losing streak for Buffalo.

The winner of Sunday’s highly anticipated showdown in Foxboro will take first place in the AFC East division. If the Patriots win, they will have a two game lead over the Bills with two games left in the regular season. A Bills win would give both teams a 9-6 record, but Buffalo would lead New England in the standings via the division-record tiebreaker (4-1 to 3-2).

Patriots Talk Podcast: Aftermath: Patriots & Mac Jones Take an L, Were They Calculated or Doomed? | Listen & Subscribe | Watch on YouTube

Here’s an analytical look at how the outcome of Sunday’s matchup will affect the Patriots’ chances of reaching the playoffs, winning the division and earning the No. 1 seed in the AFC (via the predictive model of FiveThirtyEight).

The Patriots are a good bet to make the playoffs even if they lose to the Bills on Sunday, but as the chart above shows, their chances of winning the division and becoming No. 1 drop drastically with a loss. .

Buffalo fans hold a new billboard near Gillette Stadium for the Patriots-Bills game

Conversely, a win would put the Patriots close to being locked in to claim the division title and remain a strong threat to the Kansas City Chiefs in the race for the No. 1 seed. Even if the Patriots don’t get the No. 1 seed, a division winner would guarantee them at least one home game at Gillette Stadium in January.

The Patriots haven’t played a season-end game in a while with huge implications for the title. Sunday’s game is hugely important for both teams. The stakes, at least as far as the division is concerned, couldn’t be higher.

Give a Comment