NBA DFS Breakdown (Wednesday, November 24): Josh Giddey is a Discount Stud

Wednesday is a 13 game slate that starts at 7pm ET.

Let’s dive into some of the best plays on the slate using the FantasyLabs tools and stats.

Also don’t forget that for large field tournaments you can use our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you want to build your lineups by hand.

Note: Projections and leverage Scores/ratings may change during the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape is changing rapidly. Please refer to the player models directly for any updates as we get closer to the slot.

Point guard

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Steph Curry was a blast to start the year, leading the Warriors to a 15-2 record and taking themselves to the top of the MVP discussion. He was also fantastic from a fantasy perspective, leading all point guards at an average of 1.44 FanDuel points per minute.

He is coming off a rare poor performance in his last game, but he had positive plus/minus in each of his previous four games. That caused his salary to drop to just $10,500 on FanDuel for Wednesday’s matchup against the 76ers, resulting in a 95% bargain rating. He is an excellent bounce-back target.

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The Magic have ruled out Cole Anthony for the third game in a row, which means: Jalen Suggs should look at another extended workload. Suggs has increased his usage rate by a team-high +8.1% in games without Anthony, and he leads the team with a 34.4% usage rate in those games. He averaged 0.94 DraftKings points per minute in those games despite an effective field goal percentage of 30.4%, so there’s room for improvement going forward. Perhaps that will happen against the Hornets, who are only 22nd in defensive efficiency.

Suggs stands out for an excellent value of $4,800 on DraftKings, given its Bargain Rating of 86%.

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Cory Joseph is another nice source of value in the point guard position. The Pistons currently play shorthanded, with Killian Hayes, Isaiah Stewart, and Kelly Olynyk all from the lineup. Joseph will be out for 34.3 minutes on Wednesday with all three players out, and he responded with 29.5 DraftKings points. He is underpriced across the industry, especially considering his opponent plus/minus of +2.4 vs. the Pacers.

Darius Garland is questionable for the Cavaliers, and his status will be vital on this slate. When active, Garland stands out as a strong option at just $7,000 on FanDuel. He has carried a major workload for the Cavs since Collin Sexton’s injury, scoring at least 44.5 FanDuel points in two of his last three games. When he’s out Ricky Rubio becomes a much stronger game. Rubio has increased its usage rate to 33.8% with Garland, Sexton and Evan Mobley this season, resulting in an average of 1.20 DraftKings points per minute.

Shooting Guard

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There are plenty of strong options to consider at the top of the shooting guard position on Wednesday, but CJ McCollum stands out as one of the best. He is reasonably priced across the industry and he benefits from an excellent match-up against the Kings. They are only 26th in defensive efficiency, and the Blazers’ implied team total of 114.75 is in first place. McCollum hits 46.1 FanDuel points in his final appearance, and he should continue to pick up the slack for Damian Lillard. Lillard is playing through an injury that limited his effectiveness at the start of the year.

Where the

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will miss his second straight game for the Thunder, so Josh Giddey should serve as the team’s primary playmaker. Giddey hasn’t seen many use punches this season with SGA off the field, but he has increased his assist percentage by +6.8% and his rebound percentage by +2.7%. He thrived in his first game with Gilgeous-Alexander, racking up 40.25 DraftKings points in 31.1 minutes.

Giddey has a tough match up against the Jazz, but he’s just too cheap at $6,000 on FanDuel considering his 91% bargain. His 13 Pro Trends also rank first on FanDuel regardless of position.

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Dejounte Murray has received the most attention for the Spurs this season, but Derrick White has also sometimes yielded a solid fantasy value. He averaged 0.88 DraftKings points per minute this season and his final appearance comes in at 38.5 DraftKings points over 39.5 minutes. He’s currently projected 33 minutes into our NBA models, and he’s overpriced if he continues to see that much playing time.

I guess no one expected DeMar DeRozan to have such a big impact on the Bulls. He is coming off a poor performance in his last game, but he posted a positive plus/minus in each of his five previous games. He is a strong target on FanDuel given his Bargain Rating of 91%.

Little Forward

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Kevin Durant‘s season is probably a bit overlooked. He has had to deal with the absence of Kyrie Irving and the ineffectiveness of… James Harden, and Durant has responded by leading the league in scoring. Overall, he averages 1.31 FanDuel points per minute.

Durant is a viable breeding stallion target with $10,300 on FanDuel given his 95% steal. His matchup against the Celtics is also solid, resulting in a plus/minus opponent of +1.87.

Where the

Josh Hart has been a constant source of value for the pelicans lately. He’s scored at least 34.9 in four of his last five games, but his salary has remained quite stale. His ability to hit rebounds makes him a better producer per minute than the typical wing in this price range, and he’s seen a lot of minutes lately.

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Franz Wagner is another great source of value for the Magic on Wednesdays. He’s come out of two straight bad games, but he’s seen fewer minutes in each of those games. Before that, he had scored at least 28.25 DraftKings points in three consecutive games. He should see more minutes if today’s game is more competitive, making him an elite option for just $3,900 on DraftKings.

Cody Martin is even cheaper on DraftKings, and he’s seen a solid handful of minutes for the Hornets recently. He has played at least 26.5 minutes in five consecutive matches, and he has scored positive plus/minus in four of them.

Power forward

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Rick Carlisle has been challenging his starters to play with more effort lately, and so far the results have been promising. The team has achieved two consecutive victories, and Domantas Sabonis was elite per minute in those matches. He has racked up at least 40.2 FanDuel points in both matches and has played 26.3 minutes or less in both matches. He also posted a usage rate of at least 32.1% in both games, which is a significant increase from his regular season average.

If Sabonis can combine his increased efficiency per minute with a few extra minutes on Wednesday, he can put in a huge feat. It’s underpriced across the industry.

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Chuma Okeke is one of the Magic’s most promising young players and he makes his best performance of the year in his final appearance. His playing time should continue to increase in the future, so he’s an attractive option for just $4,000 on FanDuel.

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Bam Adebayo has double PF/C eligibility on FanDuel, and he is a much more attractive option on that site. It is priced at just $8,000, resulting in a bargain rate of 87%. He also owns an elite match-up against the Timberwolves given his opponent plus/minus of +3.87.

Years Jackson Jr. is coming off his best game of the season in his final appearance. Collecting 46.0 DraftKings points in 33.8 minutes, his rare combination of perimeter shooting and defensive skills was on full display. He achieved four 3-pointers and four steals + blocks, and very few players are able to reach both thresholds. That gives him an excellent edge.

Centre

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Karl-Anthony Towns seems a bit overpriced compared to the other stallions on Wednesday’s slate. Boys love Giannis Antetokounmpo, Durant, and Curry are all priced at $11,400 or more on DraftKings, making Towns feel like a steal at $9,400. Of course, Towns hasn’t been nearly as prolific as those players this year, averaging 1.31 DraftKings points per minute. Towns has historically averaged a +2.13 plus/minus with a comparable salary (according to the Trends tool), so he’s worth considering even in a tough match-up against the Heat.

Where the

Daniel Gafford has been a reliable producer for the Wizards lately. He’s averaged a solid 1.00 DraftKings points per minute this season and is 21.2 minutes ahead of his final appearance. He routinely played more minutes than that before he got injured, so there are reasons to expect his playing time to continue to increase in the future. We currently have him projected for 23 minutes in our NBA models, and with that much playing time he should be able to return a value of $4,200.

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Jusuf NurkicHis playing time has declined lately, but so has his salary at DraftKings. He’s only down to $6,200, and Nurkic has the potential to pay that price tag in about 20 minutes. He averaged 1.29 DraftKings points per minute this season and his matchup against the Kings results in an elite +3.11 opponent plus/minus.

Christian Wood‘s salary has dropped to $6,700 on FanDuel, and he has a huge advantage for that price tag. He has averaged 1.06 FanDuel points per minute this season and he has the potential to take on a bigger workload as Kevin Porter Jr. is excluded. Wood is also eligible for PF/C on FanDuel, so he’ll easily fit into your lineup.

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